MID-DAY BRIEF · 12:00 PM ET
Mid-Day Brief — Thursday, August 13, 2026
This brief is produced with AI assistance from Claude (Anthropic). See our methodology for how briefs are produced.
📌 Top Takeaways
- Macro Events: Active traders should prepare for several key data releases next week, including the FOMC meeting on August 19 and GDP figures on August 27, both of which could impact market sentiment and volatility.
- Inflation Outlook: U.S. inflation remains subdued, influencing expectations for the Fed's rate hikes, but traders should monitor upcoming CPI data on September 10 for signs of any significant changes in the inflation trajectory.
- Corporate Activity: Major companies, including Cannabist Co Holdings, are filing 8-K reports, signaling potential volatility; watch for related stock movements and shifts in sector focus, particularly in defense due to heightened interest.
- Geopolitical Risks: Escalating tensions from the Ukraine conflict and instability in Iraq could affect global markets. Traders must stay vigilant regarding news developments that may lead to unexpected shifts in asset prices.
- Commodity Trends: Oil continues to face downward pressure amid EIA forecast adjustments, while gold prices are poised for an upswing. Investors should reassess their commodity positions in light of these trends, particularly with cooling inflation expected to drive gold demand.
📅 Macro Calendar
- RETAIL — 2026-08-14 (Tomorrow)
- FOMC — 2026-08-19 (6 days)
- GDP — 2026-08-27 (14 days)
⚡ Breaking & Markets
- Multiple companies, including Cannabist Co Holdings and Rocket Lab Corp, have filed 8-K reports, indicating significant corporate events. Meanwhile, Wall Street is focused on a US drone company, signaling heightened interest in defense stocks, while South Korea transitions from a bear to a bull market, affecting regional investments.
📊 Macro & Rates
- The ECB is poised to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.5% in September, marking the shortest tightening cycle since 2011. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation remains tame, which is tempering expectations for a further Federal Reserve rate hike.
🏦 Credit & Lending
- Corporate defaults signal rising credit stress, with Geregu addressing bond repayment concerns amid heightened scrutiny on debt markets. Concurrently, banks are deploying lower-cost credit to stimulate business, and Standard Bank reports stronger earnings with improved conditions.
🌍 Geopolitical
- The Ukraine conflict escalates as Ukraine strikes Russia’s Novorossiysk port, resulting in casualties. Meanwhile, tensions in the Kurdistan region of Iraq continue with ongoing attacks, highlighting regional instability.
🛢️ Commodities
- Oil prices face downward pressure as the EIA cuts forecasts for 2027, signaling potential oversupply concerns. Meanwhile, gold prices are projected to surge above $5,000 due to cooling US inflation, drawing investor interest. Additionally, high copper prices are dampening demand in the market, with reduced order-taking and operating rates.
₿ Crypto
- The CEO of Crypto Lender Delio has been sentenced to 15 years for a $49 million fraud scheme, raising concerns over trust within the sector. Meanwhile, MUFG is set to test real-time blockchain settlement for Japanese government bond trades, signaling institutional adoption of crypto technology. Bitcoin prices remain under pressure as speculators keep BTC pinned below $68.7K.